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Is The Dubai Luxury Property Market Really Recession-Proof?

The time has come to buy your next luxurious property in the heart of the Middle East, where lay a city of shining towers and vast deserts, known to us as Dubai.

Is The Dubai Luxury Property Market Really Recession-Proof?
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In this shimmering oasis, dreams transformed into reality, with skyscrapers rising seemingly overnight and islands crafted from nothing but sand and human efforts. Dubai is no ordinary city to buy houses – it was a community of the future.

Normally when people think about Dubai, they often think of its luxurious and big houses, huge villas, beautiful private beaches, penthouses with views of the world's tallest buildings, and luxurious hotels that could make even the rich people blush.

But as with all the feeling of wealth and comfort, there was a question that was not given attention- Is Dubai's extra-luxury real estate market really free from the downturns of the economy that the world faces or has faced? Let's try to find out this very question of how safe it is to invest in properties located in Dubai.

There are some records of properties that have not lost their value, even in tough times. We will also try to explore the communities that have done well in holding their price or cost.

Let us first talk about Dubai's luxurious communities like Palm Jumeirah , which is a man-made island in the shape of a palm tree which includes many houses.

There are other communities which are also very demanding in the market. Several real estate agents who had witnessed the ups and downs of the market and knew the history of Dubai's real estate shared some information like “In the early 2000s, money poured into Dubai, and everyone wanted a piece of this profitable market of making money through properties.

And yes, luxury houses and properties were always in demand. The richer the buyer, the less they seemed concerned with global economic downfalls.”

Dubai Situation During The Global Financial Crisis. Does Dubai feel the pinch?

As per professionals, indeed, it did. Some properties lost their value, but you'd be surprised that the extra-luxurious properties like DAMAC The Farmhouses and more in DAMAC Hills 2 were able to hold their own. The rich don't experience recessions the way most do.

Now let's find out how the situation was for the other community areas. Here also, there was the same situation. While mid-range properties experienced volatility during economic downturns, the luxurious properties remained relatively stable.

Reasons For The Better Performance Of Luxurious Properties

The luxurious properties were unaffected because of the perception of people and the scarcity of such projects. The high cost luxurious properties in Dubai are not just homes; they are statements. They offer a feel of exclusivity and prestige that's hard to replicate. Moreover, the buyers of such properties have deep pockets and diversified assets. A recession might dent their overall wealth, but not enough to force a sale of their prized Dubai property.

Our next communities to study are the Dubai Marina and Dubai Maritime City , where people board yachts owned by rich people or companies. The yacht itself was a testament to luxury. Several people who visited Dubai shared that "Dubai is a safe place to enjoy holidays". When economies tumbled, some people stated that their investments here in Dubai still remained untouched. Plus, there are few places where you can get good properties combined with world-class infrastructure, and Dubai Is one of them.

You have realised by now that there is a pattern. The high luxury properties in Dubai were not just about bricks and cement; it was about an experience, an image, and a sense of belonging to an elite club. And those who could afford to be members of this club weren't deterred by transient economic downturns.

As we can see, Dubai is a good place to buy luxurious apartments. Dubai is a city of simple things like the view of the fountain in a Desert City like Dubai is a popular trend where people enjoy watching the water dance to the tunes of Arabic melodies. What we came to know from these findings is that Dubai is a good marketplace for buying properties.

But were Dubai's Rich-luxury real estate properties recession-proof? Not entirely. No market can claim complete protection from global economic downfall. But this particular sector was as close to somewhat safe from recession as one could get, saved by the affluence of its foreign clients and the allure of the city itself.

Can It Withstand Economic Downturns?

Some people make it their job to track the high-end global property market. Lately, several buyers have been thinking: can Dubai's top-tier real estate truly resist a recession? Historically, people have often bought properties as a safe investment during uncertain economic times. But is this always the case? Probably no.

The luxury property scene in the region seems to hold strong even when the world market is shaky. However, we must remember that all markets, no matter how strong, can be affected by recessions.

Economic downturns can touch even the most luxurious properties. Investors and builders should always study the market closely, watching economic signs and understanding what's driving property demand before making big decisions. So, is Dubai's luxury market fully recession-proof? Not entirely. But several real estate professionals do think properties are a profitable long-term investment, potentially better than many others.

What To Keep In Mind When Investing ?

There are some things you should know if you are thinking of investing in top-class luxurious properties in Dubai:

  • Even the luxury property market in the Middle East can face challenges during economic lows. Expensive properties might take longer to sell and could experience price drops.
  • Buyers might think twice before purchasing luxury homes during economic slumps.
  • Economic health can shape how well the luxury market performs. Recessions can pose new problems for those investing in the area.
  • The global economy affects the luxury market, too. International buyers might hold off on buying during downturns, which can change investment trends. Major economic problems elsewhere can also shift how investors feel and where they put their money.
  • Dubai's high-end property market depends on both local and global buyers. When global economies struggle, it might be harder for foreign buyers to invest, but local investors might still hold strong. Having a mix of buyers can help the market stay strong.

The Current State of Things

Right now, lots of global investors are rushing to Dubai to buy top-tier properties. It seems like we're hearing about a new record sale price every other month. As of now, Dubai appears to be resilient against recessions, especially when looking at its luxury homes.

Data from early 2023 shows that Dubai had 92 sales of homes priced at over $10m, surpassing even famous luxury markets like Hong Kong and New York. Despite recessions often lowering property prices and slowing sales, that doesn't seem to be happening in Dubai. Some data shows sales went past US$3.1 billion in the first half of 2023.

The government's policies play a part in this. Factors like taxes, foreign ownership rules, and investment benefits can shape the luxury property market. It's a good thing that our government supports investors and offers perks like visas and tax benefits. While economic downturns can affect luxury property investments, Dubai's market seems steady, partly because of how rare these properties are and the world's fascination with Dubai and the UAE.

Conclusion

No place on earth is safe from the impact of the downfall of economics during a pandemic like COVID-19 or other reasons. The property market of Dubai is quite stable despite many market disturbances where other countries' markets fell, but Dubai performed better than other countries.

Dubai with its ability to create rental income and its promise of luxury, had carved a unique niche for itself. And while the sands of time would bring many changes, the city's allure for the rich people seemed to have a habit to endure.

(Data here is from online and may vary)
 

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